Oil prices jump as Israel war fuels supply fears

Oct 9, 2023, 6:04 AM
The surprise attack by Hamas on Israel at the weekend has sparked fears of a wider conflict in the oil-rich Middle East, sending prices of the commodity surging. -- Photo: AFP

The surprise attack by Hamas on Israel at the weekend has sparked fears of a wider conflict in the oil-rich Middle East, sending prices of the commodity surging. -- Photo: AFP

Oil prices rallied while the dollar and yen advanced Monday after Hamas launched a shock attack on Israel at the weekend, sparking fresh concerns about tensions in the Middle East.

The crisis fanned concerns about supplies of crude from the region at a time when supply worries are already high owing to Saudi Arabia and Russia's output cuts.

It has also renewed fears about the impact on inflation, with energy costs a key driver of spiking prices, giving a fresh headache to central banks as they try to ease up on interest rate hikes to avoid recessions.

The surprise attack and Israel's declaration of war in response to it have left more than 1,000 dead and raised concerns that a potential broadening of the conflict could draw in the United States and Iran.

"Key for markets is whether the conflict remains contained or spreads to involve other regions, particularly Saudi Arabia," said ANZ Group's Brian Martin and Daniel Hynes.

"Initially at least, it seems markets will assume the situation will remain limited in scope, duration, and oil-price consequences. But higher volatility can be expected."

Both main contracts surged more than five percent in early Asian business before easing back slightly.

However, SPI Asset Management's Stephen Innes warned: "Historical analysis suggests that oil prices tend to experience sustained gains after the Middle East crises.

"Meanwhile, stocks tend to eventually recover and trend higher after an initial period of volatility. Safe-haven assets like gold and Treasurys, which initially see gains during such crises, tend to fade from their initial price spikes as the situation stabilises.

"But with Middle East analysts considering this to be a pivotal moment for Israel, the view looks incendiary in any current scenario."

A decidedly risk-off mood also saw investors push into the safety of the dollar, which was up against the pound and euro, as well as the Australian and New Zealand dollars.

The yen, considered one of the safest currencies, strengthened against the greenback, though it still remains locked around 11-month lows.

Gold, another key haven, gained more than one percent.

Equity markets were mixed, with Shanghai dropping on its first day back after a week-long holiday as investors continue to fret over the stuttering Chinese economy.

This story was produced by AFP.

Comments

Read More

Latest News

Economic growth could be below one percent

The Maldives' economic growth forecast has been slashed to between 0.6% and 1.8% due to Middle East conflicts disrupting tourism. Finance Minister Hassan Zareer noted that travel route closures and rising fuel costs have caused a sharp decline in arrivals. The government now expects 2.17 million visitors, a 3.5% drop from last year.

Tourist arrivals expected to fall short of previous record

Maldives Finance Minister Hassan Zareer announced that tourist arrivals this year are expected to fall short of previous records and targets. The government revised its year-end estimate to 2.17 million visitors, citing geopolitical tensions as a factor. This decline marks the end of a five-year growth trend for the nation's tourism sector.

Maldivian flight with pilgrims abruptly postponed

A Maldivian flight carrying 250 Umrah pilgrims was postponed due to escalating regional tensions and airspace restrictions near Jeddah. Island Aviation delayed the trip to prioritize passenger safety amid deteriorating conditions in the Middle East. The airline and Hajj Corporation are working to assist affected travelers.

Villa College opens January 2027 intake with over 100 programs

Villa College has opened applications for its January 2027 intake, offering over 100 programs from certificates to master’s degrees. Students can apply until December 26, 2026, for courses in fields like IT, law, and nursing. The college provides international-standard education through partnerships with top UK and Malaysian universities.

Efforts underway to relocate Male' Port to Thilafushi

Maldives Ports Limited has begun relocating Malé’s commercial port operations to Thilafushi, starting with sea-based container clearance. The move aims to reduce congestion at the Malé and Hulhumalé terminals. While China Harbour Engineering Company handles design, local firm MTCC is constructing the new port's quay wall.

CBM re-auctions Malé land plots following loan repayment defaults

The Commercial Bank of Maldives is re-auctioning two land plots in Malé after the owner defaulted on loan repayments. The properties, Maafannu Doragali 2 and 3, have a combined reserve price of MVR 3.8 million. Interested bidders must submit their offers by November 1 with a mandatory bid security of MVR 25,000.

Turkish firm ordered to pay MVR 25 million in unpaid taxes

The Maldives High Court ordered Turkish firm Turmaks to pay MVR 25 million in unpaid GST for materials used to build Tree Top Hospital. The court upheld MIRA's assessment, rejecting the company's claim that a verbal agreement shifted tax liability. The ruling emphasizes that the burden of proof for tax exemptions lies with the taxpayer.

Newsletter

Get the latest news delivered straight to your inbox